Polls — next Bundestag election

Latest federal voting-intention polls. Tick marks show the February 2025 result.

Vote-flow scenarios (Wählerwanderung)

How voters moved between elections — fitted, surveyed and poll-calibrated transition matrices.

Transition matrix Drag handles to adjust

Seat projection

Proportional projection of the current poll average onto the 630-seat Bundestag (5% threshold; 2023 electoral law).

Click parties to form a coalition — the meter shows whether it reaches the 316-seat majority.

Simple national projection: parties under 5% excluded (SSW exempt), seats allocated Sainte-Laguë on the poll average.

Results — Bundestag 2025

Final result of 23 February 2025 (Zweitstimmen) and the two previous federal elections.

Previous elections

Wahlkreis Explorer

Every Wahlkreis plotted in demographic space — the KNN background shows the party leading each region of that space (BTW 2025). Pick the axes (2D or 3D); click a Wahlkreis for its full census profile and a map of its Land.